NFLX week 4

[ATX]

CHI +6 PINN .2%
ML .1%
under 36 PINN .1%

waiting on ml's

 

[ATX]

CHI +6 -106 for .2%
ML +220 for .1%
under 36 -108 for .1%

week 1: +1.115%
week 2: +1.736%
last week: -.299

2H's

first week is combined with full games, not sure if I posted first week full games so week 1 may be 2nd halves only
week 2: +.760%
last week: +2.127%

 

[EveryGamblersDream]

GL ATX, I'm with you on the Bears.

 

[ATX]

email me if you need the 2nd half plays faster, there are several at the same time tonite and I have to eval each and line shop, I'll do what I can to get them here ASAP

 

[ATX]

DAL -4 for .3%

 

[ATX]

I'm taking every dog for .2% and the ml for .1%

except for DAL -4 and NO -2.5

dont have time to post

 

[SixthSense]

GL ATX. Well, except for the Washington game, because I am on Jack. Ha!

 

[ATX]

NO -2.5 for .3%

DAL -4 for .3%

DET +4 FOR .2%
ML +153 FOR .1%

NYJ +6 FOR .2%
NYJ ML +219

TENN +3 FOR .2%
ML +131 FOR .1%

AZ +6 FOR .2%
AZ ML +243 FOR .1%

KC +3.5 FOR .2%
KC ML +155 FOR .1%

HOU +7.5 FOR .2%
HOU ML +276 FOR .1%

NYG +5 FOR .2%
NYG ML +194 FOR .1%

ATL +3.5 FOR .2%
ATL ML +156 FOR .1%

WASH +3 FOR .2%
WASH ml +145 FOR .1%

 

[SixthSense]

Nice night ATX. Man, that Washington game made me sick. Jax took a knee on the 7 yard line to end the game.

 

[ATX]

I didnt watch the game, but I must have caught some breaks looking at the w/l from last night. This is one of the reasons that I think you should wager on more games. You have an edge, IMO you should apply it to more events. It helps minimize the bad breaks, you catch both the breaks and bad beats, they tend to cancel each other out and your true advantage is magnified. Does this make sense to you? I'm not trying to change your style, just something to think about. Nothing wrong with wagering less on situations that are not as strong, if you hit only 54% of these it's still the same green. If you can only imagine how many baseball relievers have f'ed me when I have the dog, I almost expect it now, I am looking at selling on the interactives in the late innings next year to counteract this. Dont get the impression that I was wagering against you, it's just a dog strategy that worked well this year. I still cant believe that Cowboys score, Aikman, Emmitt, and Irving must have played all 4 quarters.

 

[SixthSense]

ATX - No, I completely understand. And I have no problem with playing more games. With the regular season here, I will step it up with more plays. I had about 115 plays last year and will probably end up with about 125 plays this year. I think your volume might be higher but that's a pretty good volume for me.

 

[BigGamesOnly]

ATX:

I agree that an experienced capper should play more games since he has the instinct to discover a good value on a game. I believe an inexperienced capper should play fewer games than you do since that person would not likely see the value in all those games. He would only be able to judge the games he has the experience to make a decision in.

 

[ATX]

Good to hear, I'm glad you understand I'm only talking strategy. I must have had over 50 wagers yesterday. One of the best days I've had in several months. I need to go back and count now that I'm sober, but I think 2nd halves went something like 13wins to 4losses last night with dog ML's. It's always nice to start the regular season on the plus side. I've been talking with a very sharp mind, and we both agree that the good money is made in the first half of the season, the lines are softer, and the reasons run very deep, it all goes back to the LVSC. email me anytime you want to chat. Cant wait for the first tailgate on Sunday.

 

[ATX]

for 8/29

CIN +3 for .2%
CIN ml +135 for .2%

CAR -2.5 for .2%

SEA +3 for .2%
SEA ML +144 for .1%

SF +1.5 for .2%

looking at 2nd halves.